Election 2020
The election 2020 will be held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. These seats are for grab :
- All the House of Representatives 435 seats
- About one-third of the 100 seats in the Senate – 35 senators
- The president
- Thirteen Governors
- and a lot of state and local elections seats will also be contested.
Our system is maybe not perfect, but it works. For the presidential election, many people want an electoral system based on popular vote, not an indirect system as we have today. Did you know that this system exists since the fall of the Western European Roman Empire and no, it’s not fake news 🙂
In the US, this system doesn’t let largely populated states take over the election of the US President. For example, only nine states representing over 50% of registered voters could decide the next president. In the indirect mode, these big states represent around 45% of the electoral votes only.
It’s definitively what happened in 2016, the president got elected without the popular vote 62,984,828 vs. 65,853,514, but he won 304 vs. 227 electoral votes.
I know we are crying he stole the election with the help of Russia, Ukraine, China, and whatnot.
I remember in summer 2015; the then-candidate had polling results around 6% for the primaries. I said that he would be the next president because he was telling what people wanted to hear.
Many laughed at me for a few months. In September, with 35% not many were still laughing. In November 2016, they were crying, “not my president.”
What happened? In March 2016, the opponent went to Ohio saying, “we’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.” Costing her the state by 8% when President Obama won it by 3%. Not much but 18 Electoral votes.
Then instead of appealing to the potential voters, in September 2016, she went on calling her opponent voters deplorable – she dropped 4% in the polls and lost the election.
Other mistakes were made like not coming to my state, where she won by 1.5% while President Obama won by almost 8%. Same with a next-door state where she lost by nearly 1% while President Obama won by 7%.
Another significant factor is the polling results… At worse, she was winning by 3% with as high as 7% with +/- 1% error… every poll saw her winning by a minimum of 3%… she lost.
What happened? Russia? I don’t think so. I believe that poll sampling is just wrong. For example, how can you sample 1,200 people representing 150 million potential voters? That’s a 0.00078% sampling, is that a right representation of the voters?
Because of the polls, some didn’t vote thinking she wins by 10%, so why getting in line when I have better things to do…
We are not the only ones with that problem. In Europe, many voters were shocked by the results of elections while they didn’t participate in the election because of the polls.
Remember, you decide, not the polls, so GO VOTE!
For this Election 2020, as I write, there are 16 Democratic candidates, not including the six on the ballot in very few states and two not on any ballot. Thirteen dropped the ball in mid to late 2019, 2 didn’t meet the criteria, and dropped. One of them even endorsed the actual president instead lol
For the 2016 primaries, there were a total of 13 candidates compared to the 29 for this round… This doesn’t include all the declined candidates 🙂
The democratic party primaries start February 3rd and end June 6th. Are we done with new candidates? Maybe, maybe not.
The last one to join the fun is Michael (Mike) Bloomberg, who launched his campaign on November 24th as he doesn’t feel that any of the other 15 candidates are equipped to beat the actual president – I am ROFL, but I think the same. It’s like 2016 all over again.
On the Republican side, it’s a much shorter list, yet I find funny that one of the conservative contenders (Bill Weld) was in 2016 Libertarian vice-presidential nominee.
I will come back on the Election 2020.
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